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Operational Excellence: a Strategic Driver for 2026 Growth

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Company news and financial news, analysis, opinion and statistics covering the six Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Financial development across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to speed up in 2026, with the area forecasted to outperform its 2025 performance regardless of soft oil earnings and continuous international uncertainties. According to a brand-new Oxford Economics research rundown, GCC GDP development is anticipated to increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, up from 4 per cent in 2025, showing a durable nonenergy sector, strong consumer characteristics, and slowly improving oil output.

The most current forecasts suggest that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to regain momentum, buoyed by enhancing domestic need and a broadly consistent international backdrop. The report highlights GCC customers as a significant motorist of the region's economic efficiency heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing real disposable earnings are expected to fuel a rise in customer spending throughout the Gulf.

Credit growth is also anticipated to remain raised as access to financial services widens. With GCC central banks expected to follow awaited United States Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the region's dollar pegs, borrowing costs are likely to decrease, giving households and services even more incentive to spend and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the region's resilience, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook provides a mixed photo.

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Operational Excellence: a Key Pillar for 2026 Success

This might weigh on firsthalf growth, particularly for economies more dependent on oil extraction. However, Oxford Economics predicts a rebound later on in 2026, with Opec+ members anticipated to resume raising production as stocks tighten up and global need enhances. Qatar, meanwhile, stands out as a local outperformer, with significant expansions in gas production and exports anticipated to raise its general financial performance.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget plan anticipates a 6 per cent cut in capital investment as the kingdom intends to narrow its financial deficit by 2 percentage points. The report notes that these cuts may not materialise totally if countercyclical costs steps are triggered to support development. By contrast, more diversified economies such as the UAE and Qatar are expected to continue advancing their advancement programs.

In spite of shortterm threats tied to oil rates and worldwide need, the GCC's 2026 economic outlook is defined by strength in fundamentals: resilient customers, robust nonenergy sectors, enhancing oil characteristics, and strategic fiscal preparation. With these aspects aligning, the region is getting ready for one of its most well balanced durations of expansion over the last few years anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP development.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council local economies are expected to stay resistant in 2026, driven by strong domestic need and a broadly stable international economy, according to an analysis. In its most current report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the real gdp of the GCC area is anticipated to broaden by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the forecasted 4 percent this year.

United States trade policy under President Donald Trump has had no noteworthy effect on regional growth, and non-energy sectors have actually sustained their robust momentum," stated Oxford Economics. It added: "On the other hand, oil production has actually slowly increased, supplying a boost to the region's economies. We expect GCC growth will increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center said that economic development in the area is set to accelerate to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by broadening non-oil sectors.

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Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of overall GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the region's ongoing progress towards diversification. According to Oxford Economics, GCC consumers will be standout performers in 2026 and are anticipated to surpass their global peers. Oxford Economics said that low inflation has actually helped secure development in genuine disposable income, which has actually also been supported by strong need and really low unemployment rates."We do not envision any let-up, as governments continue to push for greater foreign direct investment in their push to diversify their economies away from oil and gas," the report added.

In December, the IMF further stated that heading inflation is expected to remain below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, near to 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and slightly above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit growth is anticipated to remain elevated in the GCC area during 2026, as access to monetary services is expected to grow and loaning is projected to be supported by further cuts in rate of interest."Owing to their currency pegs to the United States dollar, GCC central banks are expected to follow the US Federal Reserve by alleviating monetary policy further, which in turn will decrease financial obligation servicing expenses and increase non reusable income and demand," said the report.