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To reverse a years of deteriorating total aspect productivity, local labour market policy is moving from basic job production to managing active workforce transitions. Governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to gear up workers for emerging roles. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style pathways are ending up being more common as firms incorporate AI tools into daily workflows.
With oil costs anticipated to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local governments are magnifying their concentrate on expenditure discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is rotating toward the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, energies, and desalination to redirect funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While loaning through sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to money strategic deficits, the focus remains on strengthening non-oil revenue structures.
PwC Middle East financial policy and strategy partner Jing Teow said: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now focused on delivery. In 2026, the top priority is enhancing financial resilience through more secure trade and financial investment relationships, reliable AI implementation, handled workforce shifts and disciplined fiscal policy in a more tough and fragmented worldwide environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's financial expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resistant domestic demand and renewed investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to surpass most global regions peers next year, with local GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and rising financial investment in innovation and AI-related facilities.
Although oil incomes will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is anticipated to increase again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it specified. Saudi Arabia will stay a significant contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by industrial growth and policy reforms, consisting of relieved foreign ownership guidelines that intend to promote further investment. The fiscal deficit is projected to expand to 5.6% of GDP next year amidst softer oil prices, while the current five-year rent freeze in Riyadh intends to relieve inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise positioned for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourism, trade and monetary services stay key development motorists, supported by population development and sustained domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to select up again in the second half of 2026, complementing ongoing investment in facilities, innovation and worldwide trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook reinforces how far the GCC has been available in structure varied, resistant and globally competitive economies.
How to Align Contracting Out with 2026 Sustainability GoalsScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Financial Expert and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are getting in 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is getting pace, supported by robust demand and rising investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to gain from strong domestic basics, a sharp uplift in federal government costs and sustained diversification efforts.
What differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not merely the acceleration of technological change, though that velocity is real, however rather a fundamental shift in how business develop of their GCCs' purpose. The is expected to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this development masks a more profound change.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss obligation, and contribute to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will behave like internal start-ups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with worldwide business results. This shift from execution to ownership represents possibly the single most significant tactical recalibration in the GCC model's advancement.
This week, we're assembling more than 3000 meetings in between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together investors, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the region, and what follows, consisting of the growth and continuous development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing role in global networks of capital and trade.
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